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Round 1

Wests Tigers v Knights

Friday 07 March 202507:00

Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney

Liam Kennedy

Insights / Tips

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

A+

Win rate

29%

Implied odds

7%

Edge

+21%

Won in 4 of their last 14 games. Season win rate of 29% is higher than bookie’s odds of 7%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
neds

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

A

Win rate

42%

Implied odds

13%

Edge

+28%

Won in 5 of their last 12 games. Season win rate of 42% is higher than bookie’s odds of 13%.

Left-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 1+

A-

Win rate

29%

Implied odds

18%

Edge

+11%

Won in 4 of their last 14 games. Season win rate of 29% is higher than bookie’s odds of 18%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 2+

A-

Win rate

26%

Implied odds

15%

Edge

+11%

Won in 6 of their last 23 games. Season win rate of 26% is higher than bookie’s odds of 15%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 1+

A-

Win rate

60%

Implied odds

45%

Edge

+15%

Won in 3 of their last 5 games. Season win rate of 60% is higher than bookie’s odds of 45%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 1+

A-

Win rate

50%

Implied odds

27%

Edge

+23%

Won in 6 of their last 12 games. Season win rate of 50% is higher than bookie’s odds of 27%.

Left-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

First tryscorer

A-

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

10%

Edge

+30%

Won in 2 of their last 5 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 10%.

Left-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 2+

B+

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

15%

Edge

+25%

Won in 2 of their last 5 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 15%.

Left-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B+

Win rate

26%

Implied odds

18%

Edge

+8%

Won in 6 of their last 23 games. Season win rate of 26% is higher than bookie’s odds of 18%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 3+

B+

Win rate

17%

Implied odds

1%

Edge

+16%

Won in 2 of their last 12 games. Season win rate of 17% is higher than bookie’s odds of 1%.

Left-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 1+

B+

Win rate

29%

Implied odds

25%

Edge

+4%

Won in 6 of their last 21 games. Season win rate of 29% is higher than bookie’s odds of 25%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B

Win rate

18%

Implied odds

7%

Edge

+11%

Won in 3 of their last 17 games. Season win rate of 18% is higher than bookie’s odds of 7%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
tab

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

B

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

24%

Edge

+16%

Won in 2 of their last 5 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 24%.

Left-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 2+

B

Win rate

17%

Implied odds

6%

Edge

+11%

Won in 2 of their last 12 games. Season win rate of 17% is higher than bookie’s odds of 6%.

Left-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

21%

Edge

+19%

Won in 2 of their last 5 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 21%.

Left-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B

Win rate

14%

Implied odds

9%

Edge

+5%

Won in 2 of their last 14 games. Season win rate of 14% is higher than bookie’s odds of 9%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
sb

Tryscorer stats

Player

Success

Odds

L. Galvin

-

neds$4.6
F. Sharpe

-

neds$3.9
J. Luai

-

sb$4.4
J. Cogger

-

neds$6.0
T. May

-

tab$7.0
J. Saifiti

-

neds$7.8
T. Hope

-

neds$7.5
P. Crossland

-

neds$6.5
S. Turuva

-

tab$2.3
J. Schiller

-

sb$2.2
A. Doueihi

-

sb$3.4
D. Gagai

-

sb$3.5
S. Faataape

-

sb$3.3
B. Best

-

tab$3.0
J. Skelton

-

neds$2.3
G. Marzhew

-

neds$2.0
F. Pole

-

tab$7.5
L. Thompson

-

neds$7.8
S. Fainu

-

neds$5.0
D. Lucas

-

sb$4.0
A. Seyfarth

-

sb$5.9
K. Pearce-Paul

-

neds$5.3
A. Twal

-

sb$9.8
T. Frizell

-

sb$6.0
T. Da Silva

-

sb$6.3
J. Brailey

-

sb$8.0
R. Hunt

-

neds$8.3
J. Hetherington

-

neds$8.8
J. Bird

-

neds$7.5
H. Mason

-

neds$3.3
K. Ponga

-

neds$2.8
B. Jones

-

neds$8.3
S. Fainu

-

tab$7.5
M. Croker

-

sb$7.0

Odds Outliers

Player
Average
sportsbet_odds
tab_odds
ladbrokes_oddsladbrokes_odds

Add

Team form

Wests Tigers
oppositionTeamId
24 - 26
oppositionTeamId
Warriors
Dolphins
oppositionTeamId
18 - 30
oppositionTeamId
Wests Tigers
Eels
oppositionTeamId
6 - 32
oppositionTeamId
Wests Tigers
Wests Tigers
oppositionTeamId
8 - 10
oppositionTeamId
Knights
Wests Tigers
oppositionTeamId
26 - 60
oppositionTeamId
Eels
Wests Tigers
oppositionTeamId
34 - 26
oppositionTeamId
Sea Eagles
Wests Tigers
oppositionTeamId
18 - 16
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Knights
oppositionTeamId
34 - 18
oppositionTeamId
Wests Tigers
Wests Tigers
oppositionTeamId
30 - 48
oppositionTeamId
Cowboys
Warriors
oppositionTeamId
28 - 16
oppositionTeamId
Wests Tigers
Win
40%
Loss
60%

Head-to-head

Wests Tigers
0Wins
0Draws
0Wins
Knights
#
PL
W
L
+/-
PTS
1
4
4
0
46
8
2
4
3
1
52
6
3
4
3
1
44
6
4
3
2
1
38
6
5
3
2
1
22
6
6
4
3
1
8
6
7
4
3
1
-2
6
8
3
2
1
-4
6
10
4
2
2
19
4
11
3
1
2
-3
4
12
4
2
2
-6
4
13
4
1
3
-16
2
14
4
1
3
-54
2
15
4
1
3
-56
2
16
4
0
4
-36
0
17
4
0
4
-86
0

NRL Tipping Comp

Pick one tryscorer for each game
Broncos v Sea Eagles

Reece Walsh

1.8

Storm v Bulldogs

Jahrome Hughes

3.1

Dolphins v Sharks

Thomas Flegler

8

Selecting players with higher odds will score you more points. Higher the risk – higher the reward.

Highest combined score wins
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