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Round 1

Dragons v Bulldogs

Saturday 08 March 202506:30

Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney

Todd Smith

20 - 286 HT 16

Insights / Tips

Player name

Tries 1+

B

Win rate

50%

Implied odds

33%

Edge

+17%

Won in 12 of their last 24 games. Season win rate of 50% is higher than bookie’s odds of 33%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

Tries 1+

B

Win rate

36%

Implied odds

20%

Edge

+16%

Won in 8 of their last 22 games. Season win rate of 36% is higher than bookie’s odds of 20%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 1+

B

Win rate

38%

Implied odds

36%

Edge

+2%

Won in 8 of their last 21 games. Season win rate of 38% is higher than bookie’s odds of 36%.

Left-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

B-

Win rate

18%

Implied odds

6%

Edge

+13%

Won in 4 of their last 22 games. Season win rate of 18% is higher than bookie’s odds of 6%.

Best odds
neds

D. Cook

Last Tryscorer

C+

Win rate

9%

Implied odds

3%

Edge

+6%

Won in 2 of their last 23 games. Season win rate of 9% is higher than bookie’s odds of 3%.

Best odds
tab$34

K. Mann

Last Tryscorer

C+

Win rate

6%

Implied odds

3%

Edge

+3%

Won in 1 of their last 17 games. Season win rate of 6% is higher than bookie’s odds of 3%.

Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
tab$34

C. Tuipulotu

First Team Tryscorer

C+

Win rate

25%

Implied odds

18%

Edge

+7%

Won in 3 of their last 12 games. Season win rate of 25% is higher than bookie’s odds of 18%.

Best odds
sb$5.5

M. Feagai

Tries 2+

C+

Win rate

22%

Implied odds

13%

Edge

+10%

Won in 2 of their last 9 games. Season win rate of 22% is higher than bookie’s odds of 13%.

Best odds
sb$8

T. Couchman

Tries 1+

C+

Win rate

18%

Implied odds

11%

Edge

+7%

Won in 2 of their last 11 games. Season win rate of 18% is higher than bookie’s odds of 11%.

Best odds
sb$8.75

J. Liddle

Tries 1+

C+

Win rate

23%

Implied odds

13%

Edge

+9%

Won in 5 of their last 22 games. Season win rate of 23% is higher than bookie’s odds of 13%.

Best odds
neds$8

M. Feagai

Tries 3+

C+

Win rate

11%

Implied odds

3%

Edge

+8%

Won in 1 of their last 9 games. Season win rate of 11% is higher than bookie’s odds of 3%.

Best odds
neds$41

K. Flanagan

Tries 1+

C+

Win rate

25%

Implied odds

17%

Edge

+8%

Won in 5 of their last 20 games. Season win rate of 25% is higher than bookie’s odds of 17%.

Best odds
sb$6

C. Tuipulotu

Tries 1+

C+

Win rate

50%

Implied odds

42%

Edge

+8%

Won in 6 of their last 12 games. Season win rate of 50% is higher than bookie’s odds of 42%.

Best odds
tab$2.4

K. Flanagan

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

15%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+7%

Won in 3 of their last 20 games. Season win rate of 15% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Best odds
sb$12

J. Salmon

Tries 2+

C+

Win rate

5%

Implied odds

2%

Edge

+3%

Won in 1 of their last 20 games. Season win rate of 5% is higher than bookie’s odds of 2%.

Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds$101

J. Salmon

First tryscorer

C+

Win rate

5%

Implied odds

2%

Edge

+3%

Won in 1 of their last 20 games. Season win rate of 5% is higher than bookie’s odds of 2%.

Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb$61

Tryscorer stats

Player

Success

Odds

R. Mahoney

-

neds$5.8
V. Holmes

-

tab$3.0
S. Crichton

-

sb$2.8
L. Leilua

-

neds$6.6
V. Kikau

-

neds$4.3
J. Su'a

-

sb$5.0
J. Salmon

-

neds$8.8
R. Couchman

-

neds$10.0
R. Faitala-Mariner

-

neds$10.0
S. Tupouniua

-

sb$6.0
H. Hayes

-

neds$8.8
M. Suli

-

sb$4.2
B. Xerri

-

sb$2.8
C. Tuipulotu

-

tab$2.4
L. Ilias

-

sb$6.0
T. Sexton

-

neds$6.0
T. Couchman

-

sb$8.8
D. Cook

-

neds$5.8
E. Guler

-

sb$9.5
J. Preston

-

neds$3.8
J. De Belin

-

sb$8.5
J. Liddle

-

neds$8.0
K. Mann

-

sb$6.3
B. Hayward

-

neds$7.8
H. Stewart

-

sb$10.5
C. Gutherson

-

neds$3.0
C. Tracey

-

neds$3.5
M. Feagai

-

neds$2.5
B. Wilson

-

neds$2.1
M. Montoya

-

neds$2.3
K. Flanagan

-

sb$6.0
M. Burton

-

tab$3.8
M. King

-

sb$12.0
D. Suluka-Fifita

-

$

Odds Outliers

Player
Average
sportsbet_odds
tab_odds
ladbrokes_oddsladbrokes_odds

Add

Team form

Dragons
oppositionTeamId
14 - 8
oppositionTeamId
Storm
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
24 - 25
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
20 - 28
oppositionTeamId
Bulldogs
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
24 - 26
oppositionTeamId
Raiders
Eels
oppositionTeamId
44 - 40
oppositionTeamId
Dragons
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
10 - 38
oppositionTeamId
Sharks
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
32 - 16
oppositionTeamId
Titans
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
10 - 28
oppositionTeamId
Bulldogs
Storm
oppositionTeamId
16 - 18
oppositionTeamId
Dragons
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
10 - 46
oppositionTeamId
Panthers
Win
30%
Loss
70%

Head-to-head

Dragons
0Wins
0Draws
0Wins
Bulldogs
#
PL
W
L
+/-
PTS
1
4
4
0
46
8
2
4
3
1
52
6
3
4
3
1
44
6
4
3
2
1
38
6
5
3
2
1
22
6
6
4
3
1
8
6
7
4
3
1
-2
6
8
3
2
1
-4
6
10
4
2
2
19
4
11
3
1
2
-3
4
12
4
2
2
-6
4
13
4
1
3
-16
2
14
4
1
3
-54
2
15
4
1
3
-56
2
16
4
0
4
-36
0
17
4
0
4
-86
0

NRL Tipping Comp

Pick one tryscorer for each game
Broncos v Sea Eagles

Reece Walsh

1.8

Storm v Bulldogs

Jahrome Hughes

3.1

Dolphins v Sharks

Thomas Flegler

8

Selecting players with higher odds will score you more points. Higher the risk – higher the reward.

Highest combined score wins
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