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Round 5

Rabbitohs v Roosters

Friday 04 April 202509:00

Accor Stadium, Sydney

Adam Gee

Insights / Tips

Player name

Last Tryscorer

A

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

10%

Edge

+20%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 10%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
tab

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

A-

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

19%

Edge

+21%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 19%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

A-

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

7%

Edge

+3%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 7%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 1+

A-

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

31%

Edge

+9%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 31%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
tab

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

A-

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

15%

Edge

+25%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 15%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

A-

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

29%

Edge

+11%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 29%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
tab

Player name

Tries 2+

B+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

3%

Edge

+7%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 3%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 2+

B+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+2%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
tab

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

2%

Edge

+8%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 2%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 3+

B

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

6%

Edge

+4%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 6%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
tab

Player name

Tries 1+

B

Win rate

60%

Implied odds

57%

Edge

+3%

Won in 6 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 60% is higher than bookie’s odds of 57%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
tab

Player name

First tryscorer

B

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+12%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 1+

B-

Win rate

60%

Implied odds

49%

Edge

+11%

Won in 6 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 60% is higher than bookie’s odds of 49%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

Tries 2+

B-

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

18%

Edge

+12%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 18%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B-

Win rate

14%

Implied odds

1%

Edge

+13%

Won in 1 of their last 7 games. Season win rate of 14% is higher than bookie’s odds of 1%.

Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 1+

B-

Win rate

50%

Implied odds

42%

Edge

+8%

Won in 5 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 50% is higher than bookie’s odds of 42%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Tryscorer stats

Player

Success

Odds

J. Wighton

-

tab$3.0
J. Humphreys

-

sb$4.4
C. Townsend

-

sb$6.0
K. Koloamatangi

-

tab$2.9
N. Butcher

-

sb$9.3
S. Smith

-

sb$4.5
S. Keppie

-

sb$10.0
J. Tedesco

-

sb$2.7
I. Tass

-

sb$2.1
D. Tupou

-

tab$2.0

Odds Outliers

Player
Average
sportsbet_odds
tab_odds
ladbrokes_oddsladbrokes_odds

Add

Vs Opposition

Team form

Bulldogs
oppositionTeamId
32 - 0
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
16 - 24
oppositionTeamId
Cowboys
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
20 - 14
oppositionTeamId
Roosters
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
28 - 18
oppositionTeamId
Panthers
Sharks
oppositionTeamId
27 - 12
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
24 - 25
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
16 - 14
oppositionTeamId
Dolphins
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
28 - 36
oppositionTeamId
Roosters
Panthers
oppositionTeamId
34 - 12
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
16 - 36
oppositionTeamId
Knights
Win
40%
Loss
60%

Head-to-head

Rabbitohs
0Wins
0Draws
0Wins
Roosters
#
PL
W
L
+/-
PTS
1
5
5
0
66
12
2
5
4
1
90
10
3
6
4
2
56
8
4
6
4
2
36
8
5
6
4
2
-4
8
6
5
3
2
-20
8
8
6
3
3
22
6
9
6
3
3
21
6
10
5
2
3
19
6
11
5
2
3
-26
6
12
5
2
3
-40
6
13
6
3
3
-42
6
14
6
2
4
8
4
15
6
2
4
-52
4
16
6
1
5
-38
2
17
6
1
5
-124
2

NRL Tipping Comp

Pick one tryscorer for each game
Broncos v Sea Eagles

Reece Walsh

1.8

Storm v Bulldogs

Jahrome Hughes

3.1

Dolphins v Sharks

Thomas Flegler

8

Selecting players with higher odds will score you more points. Higher the risk – higher the reward.

Highest combined score wins
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