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Round 6

Broncos v Roosters

Friday 11 April 202510:00

Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Peter Gough

Insights / Tips

Player name

Tries 1+

A-

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

22%

Edge

+8%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 22%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

First tryscorer

A-

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

4%

Edge

+6%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 4%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

Last Tryscorer

A-

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

4%

Edge

+6%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 4%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
tab

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

A-

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

10%

Edge

+10%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 10%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B+

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+22%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

Tries 1+

B+

Win rate

50%

Implied odds

25%

Edge

+25%

Won in 5 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 50% is higher than bookie’s odds of 25%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+2%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 1+

B

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

21%

Edge

+19%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 21%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 2+

B

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

13%

Edge

+17%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 13%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B-

Win rate

25%

Implied odds

11%

Edge

+14%

Won in 2 of their last 8 games. Season win rate of 25% is higher than bookie’s odds of 11%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B-

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

17%

Edge

+13%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 17%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

B-

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+12%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 1+

B-

Win rate

60%

Implied odds

47%

Edge

+13%

Won in 6 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 60% is higher than bookie’s odds of 47%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

Tries 2+

B-

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

7%

Edge

+13%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 7%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B-

Win rate

13%

Implied odds

2%

Edge

+11%

Won in 1 of their last 8 games. Season win rate of 13% is higher than bookie’s odds of 2%.

Best odds
sb

G. Shibasaki

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

25%

Implied odds

19%

Edge

+6%

Won in 2 of their last 8 games. Season win rate of 25% is higher than bookie’s odds of 19%.

Right-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds$5.4

Tryscorer stats

Player

Success

Odds

S. Cobbo

-

sb$1.6
D. Tupou

-

neds$2.4
K. Staggs

-

tab$2.4
B. Smith

-

tab$4.0
R. Toia

-

neds$4.2
J. Arthars

-

tab$1.4
D. Young

-

tab$2.1
B. Hunt

-

sb$4.5
S. Smith

-

sb$4.8
A. Reynolds

-

sb$4.3

Odds Outliers

Player
Average
sportsbet_odds
tab_odds
ladbrokes_oddsladbrokes_odds

Add

Vs Opposition

Team form

Warriors
oppositionTeamId
18 - 18
oppositionTeamId
Broncos
Broncos
oppositionTeamId
16 - 26
oppositionTeamId
Roosters
Broncos
oppositionTeamId
46 - 24
oppositionTeamId
Wests Tigers
Dolphins
oppositionTeamId
12 - 20
oppositionTeamId
Broncos
Broncos
oppositionTeamId
26 - 16
oppositionTeamId
Cowboys
Raiders
oppositionTeamId
32 - 22
oppositionTeamId
Broncos
Roosters
oppositionTeamId
14 - 50
oppositionTeamId
Broncos
Broncos
oppositionTeamId
12 - 50
oppositionTeamId
Storm
Dolphins
oppositionTeamId
40 - 6
oppositionTeamId
Broncos
Broncos
oppositionTeamId
30 - 24
oppositionTeamId
Eels
Win
50%
Loss
50%

Head-to-head

Broncos
0Wins
0Draws
0Wins
Roosters
#
PL
W
L
+/-
PTS
1
6
6
0
98
14
2
6
4
2
70
10
3
7
5
2
46
10
4
6
4
2
-20
10
5
7
4
3
56
8
6
7
4
3
41
8
7
6
3
3
21
8
8
7
4
3
-36
8
9
6
3
3
-42
8
10
7
3
4
28
6
11
7
3
4
20
6
12
7
3
4
12
6
13
6
2
4
-36
6
14
6
2
4
-60
6
15
7
2
5
-10
4
16
7
2
5
-80
4
17
7
2
5
-108
4

NRL Tipping Comp

Pick one tryscorer for each game
Broncos v Sea Eagles

Reece Walsh

1.8

Storm v Bulldogs

Jahrome Hughes

3.1

Dolphins v Sharks

Thomas Flegler

8

Selecting players with higher odds will score you more points. Higher the risk – higher the reward.

Highest combined score wins
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