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Round 6

Rabbitohs v Cowboys

Saturday 12 April 202507:30

Optus Stadium, Perth

Todd Smith

Insights / Tips

Player name

Tries 1+

B

Win rate

50%

Implied odds

36%

Edge

+14%

Won in 5 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 50% is higher than bookie’s odds of 36%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

B

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

15%

Edge

+15%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 15%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

15%

Edge

+15%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 15%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B-

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

5%

Edge

+15%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 5%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B-

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

9%

Edge

+11%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 9%.

Ri-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
sb

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B-

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

7%

Edge

+13%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 7%.

Best odds
neds

J. Clifford

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

10%

Edge

+10%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 10%.

Best odds
neds$10

J. Clifford

Tries 2+

C+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

4%

Edge

+6%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 4%.

Best odds
sb$23

J. Gray

Last Tryscorer

C+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+2%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Right-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds$13

G. Neame

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

4%

Edge

+6%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 4%.

Best odds
sb$26

C. Hess

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

4%

Edge

+6%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 4%.

Best odds
sb$26

J. Purdue

Tries 1+

C+

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

33%

Edge

+7%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 33%.

Best odds
neds$3.05

J. Gray

First tryscorer

C+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

7%

Edge

+3%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 7%.

Right-edge mismatch
Opposition Weakness
Best odds
neds$15

M. Taulagi

Last Tryscorer

C+

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

11%

Edge

+9%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 11%.

Best odds
sb$8.75

J. Clifford

First tryscorer

C+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

4%

Edge

+6%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 4%.

Best odds
neds$26

M. Taulagi

Tries 1+

C

Win rate

60%

Implied odds

56%

Edge

+4%

Won in 6 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 60% is higher than bookie’s odds of 56%.

Best odds
neds$1.8

Tryscorer stats

Player

Success

Odds

L. Le Blanc

-

sb$11.0
S. Havili

-

sb$9.5
T. Duncan

-

neds$6.8
S. McIntyre

-

sb$7.5
S. Drinkwater

-

neds$2.2
A. Johnston

-

sb$1.8
R. Derby

-

sb$2.0
E. Aitken

-

sb$3.6
J. Purdue

-

neds$3.0
J. Wighton

-

tab$3.3

Odds Outliers

Player
Average
sportsbet_odds
tab_odds
ladbrokes_oddsladbrokes_odds

Add

Vs Opposition

Team form

Bulldogs
oppositionTeamId
32 - 0
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
16 - 24
oppositionTeamId
Cowboys
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
20 - 14
oppositionTeamId
Roosters
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
28 - 18
oppositionTeamId
Panthers
Sharks
oppositionTeamId
27 - 12
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
24 - 25
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
16 - 14
oppositionTeamId
Dolphins
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
28 - 36
oppositionTeamId
Roosters
Panthers
oppositionTeamId
34 - 12
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
16 - 36
oppositionTeamId
Knights
Win
40%
Loss
60%

Head-to-head

Rabbitohs
0Wins
0Draws
0Wins
Cowboys
#
PL
W
L
+/-
PTS
1
5
5
0
66
12
2
5
4
1
90
10
3
6
4
2
56
8
4
6
4
2
36
8
5
6
4
2
-4
8
6
5
3
2
-20
8
8
6
3
3
22
6
9
6
3
3
21
6
10
5
2
3
19
6
11
5
2
3
-26
6
12
5
2
3
-40
6
13
6
3
3
-42
6
14
6
2
4
8
4
15
6
2
4
-52
4
16
6
1
5
-38
2
17
6
1
5
-124
2

NRL Tipping Comp

Pick one tryscorer for each game
Broncos v Sea Eagles

Reece Walsh

1.8

Storm v Bulldogs

Jahrome Hughes

3.1

Dolphins v Sharks

Thomas Flegler

8

Selecting players with higher odds will score you more points. Higher the risk – higher the reward.

Highest combined score wins
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