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Round 7

Dolphins v Storm

Friday 18 April 202510:00

Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Todd Smith

Insights / Tips

Player name

Tries 1+

A

Win rate

80%

Implied odds

42%

Edge

+38%

Won in 8 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 80% is higher than bookie’s odds of 42%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

A-

Win rate

50%

Implied odds

15%

Edge

+35%

Won in 5 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 50% is higher than bookie’s odds of 15%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

A-

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

18%

Edge

+12%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 18%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 1+

B+

Win rate

50%

Implied odds

25%

Edge

+25%

Won in 5 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 50% is higher than bookie’s odds of 25%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B+

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+22%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 1+

B+

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

9%

Edge

+21%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 9%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B+

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

20%

Edge

+10%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 20%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
sb

Player name

First tryscorer

B

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+2%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 1+

B

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

24%

Edge

+16%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 24%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

B

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

4%

Edge

+16%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 4%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

Tries 3+

B

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

0%

Edge

+20%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 0%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 1+

B

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

13%

Edge

+17%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 13%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

8%

Edge

+2%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 8%.

Matchup Strength
Best odds
tab

Player name

Tries 2+

B

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

4%

Edge

+16%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 4%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

B-

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

5%

Edge

+15%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 5%.

Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 1+

B-

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

9%

Edge

+11%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 9%.

Best odds
tab

Tryscorer stats

Player

Success

Odds

R. Papenhuyzen

-

tab$1.8
J. Isaako

-

sb$2.4
X. Coates

-

neds$1.5
J. Howarth

-

sb$3.0
H. Farnworth

-

sb$3.4
G. Anderson

-

tab$2.4
J. Bostock

-

neds$2.3
K. Nikorima

-

sb$6.8
J. Averillo

-

sb$4.0
C. Munster

-

tab$3.3

Odds Outliers

Player
Average
sportsbet_odds
tab_odds
ladbrokes_oddsladbrokes_odds

Add

Vs Opposition

Team form

Dolphins
oppositionTeamId
42 - 22
oppositionTeamId
Storm
Dolphins
oppositionTeamId
30 - 12
oppositionTeamId
Panthers
Titans
oppositionTeamId
10 - 36
oppositionTeamId
Dolphins
Dolphins
oppositionTeamId
12 - 20
oppositionTeamId
Broncos
Dolphins
oppositionTeamId
18 - 30
oppositionTeamId
Wests Tigers
Knights
oppositionTeamId
26 - 12
oppositionTeamId
Dolphins
Rabbitohs
oppositionTeamId
16 - 14
oppositionTeamId
Dolphins
Knights
oppositionTeamId
14 - 6
oppositionTeamId
Dolphins
Dolphins
oppositionTeamId
40 - 6
oppositionTeamId
Broncos
Storm
oppositionTeamId
48 - 6
oppositionTeamId
Dolphins
Win
40%
Loss
60%

Head-to-head

Dolphins
0Wins
0Draws
0Wins
Storm
#
PL
W
L
+/-
PTS
1
5
5
0
66
12
2
5
4
1
90
10
3
6
4
2
56
8
4
6
4
2
36
8
5
6
4
2
-4
8
6
5
3
2
-20
8
8
6
3
3
22
6
9
6
3
3
21
6
10
5
2
3
19
6
11
5
2
3
-26
6
12
5
2
3
-40
6
13
6
3
3
-42
6
14
6
2
4
8
4
15
6
2
4
-52
4
16
6
1
5
-38
2
17
6
1
5
-124
2

NRL Tipping Comp

Pick one tryscorer for each game
Broncos v Sea Eagles

Reece Walsh

1.8

Storm v Bulldogs

Jahrome Hughes

3.1

Dolphins v Sharks

Thomas Flegler

8

Selecting players with higher odds will score you more points. Higher the risk – higher the reward.

Highest combined score wins
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